08/20/2026
THREE TYPES OF NIGERIA
There is a Nigeria we know today.
There is a Nigeria we desire to see.
There is a Nigeria that exists because it was deliberately designed to function the way it does.
And unfortunately, there is a Nigeria we may never see, or one that will be extremely difficult to achieve, unless we first understand the difference between these these three Nigerias.
The Nigeria we know today is the Nigeria of enormous potential but disappointing outcomes. A country blessed with human talent, natural resources, fertile land and entrepreneurial energy, yet struggling with poverty, unemployment, corruption, insecurity, weak institutions and failing public services. The Nigeria we know today
Is a Nigeria where brilliant young people graduate without jobs, where citizens provide their own electricity, water and security, and where people sometimes succeed not because the system works, but because they have learned how to survive despite the system. This is the Nigeria that humanity cannot understand.
2, Then there is the Nigeria we desire to see.
This is the Nigeria we constantly talk about, a Nigeria where electricity works, hospitals function, schools provide quality education, roads are maintained, elections are credible and public officials are accountable. We imagine a Nigeria where merit matters more than connections, where your ethnicity does not determine your opportunities, where a police officer respects the law, where politicians fear the consequences of stealing public money, and where a child born into a poor family can still rise through education and hard work. Almost every Nigerian desires some version of this country. But desire alone does not produce nations. This particular Nigeria, some call it the new Nigeria, but in reality it is a far dream. A people are a reflection of thier society.
3. There is also the Nigeria that exists because it was designed to be so.
This is perhaps the most uncomfortable Nigeria to discuss. Many things we describe simply as corruption, incompetence or bad leadership are sustained by structures, incentives and political arrangements that reproduce the same outcomes repeatedly. These structures have designed a system that makes Nigeria almost ungovernable. These structures makes political office extremely expensive to obtain, and those who finance elections expect returns, contracts that are never executed. In this Nigeria by design, appointments are treated as political rewards, merit becomes secondary. In this Nigeria by design you find people who defend corrupt leaders because they share their ethnicity, religion, region or political party, in the Nigeria by design, accountability becomes difficult. Everyone looks for money, and integrity does not matter.
In this Nigeria by design, institutions depend more on the personality of whoever occupies an office than on established rules, every election becomes a search for a messiah, but the system appears to be stronger than the best messiah that comes on board. Until we change this design, this nigeria will continue to outlive every generation.
In this Nigeria by design, replacing one individual or president does not necessarily change the outcome because the incentives that produced the previous behavior that makes us this way, those incentives remain.
4. This brings us to the Nigeria that will be very difficult to see.
The Nigeria of our dreams will remain difficult to achieve if we want the benefits of a developed society without accepting the discipline required to build one. If we want the Nigeria like the developed world then we have think and do things the right way. We have to learn to condemn evil, theft of public money, we have to stop celebrating criminals, truth is you cannot eat your cake and still have it. We cannot demand accountable leaders while celebrating unexplained wealth.
We cannot condemn corruption nationally while practicing favoritism locally. We cannot demand merit in government while insisting that appointments must first satisfy ethnic, religious and political interests. We cannot continue to promote sycophancy while merit is disregarded.
We cannot complain about bad politicians while collecting money to vote for them. And we cannot build strong institutions if every generation continues searching for one extraordinary individual to rescue the country. The greatest struggle for Nigeria, therefore, may not simply be who becomes President. The deeper struggle is how to transform the Nigeria that has been designed to reproduce dysfunction into the Nigeria we desire to see.
That requires more than elections. It requires more than prayer, it requires more than wishful thinking, It requires institutional reform, political restructuring, civic responsibility, cultural change, accountability and, most importantly, a change in the incentives that reward bad behavior.
Until then, we will continue living between two Nigerias, the Nigeria that is, and the Nigeria that could be. And the distance between them will not be closed by hope alone.
It will be closed by changing the structures, institutions, incentives, and ultimately the behaviors, that keep producing the Nigeria we already know.
All fingers are not the same, maybe our was intentionally designed to be short, but we and we alone can choose to make the short finger useless or make it the most important of the bunch.
Good morning Africa!