31/10/2025
βΌοΈURGENT HEADS UP CENTRAL QLD, SOUTH EAST QLD & NORTH EAST NSWβΌοΈ
This forecast is valid for Saturday, November 1st 2025.
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Today (Saturday) is shaping up as one of the BIGGEST storm days we could see for a number of years across Central & South East QLD into North East NSW. A combination of warm and very humid air is expected to combine with upper level support and a significant increase in wind shear, which is forecast to set the stage for a very broad area of extreme instability developing throughout the day - at levels we rarely see!
π Storms are expected to kick off in Northern & North Eastern NSW during the morning
π Storm activity is expected build into South Eastern & Central QLD during the afternoon, evening and lasting well into the night
β οΈ NUMEROUS storms are LIKELY going to become severe within the purple circle. These storms will have a risk of producing damaging winds (>90km/h), heavy rainfall, large hail (2-5cm in diameter) and frequent lightning.
β οΈ Some supercells (rotating, severe storms) are LIKELY within the purple circle. These storms will have a risk of destructive winds (>125km/h), giant hailstones (5-10cm in diameter), torrential rainfall (>100mm per hour rainfall rates) leading to flash flooding and very dangerous lightning strikes (these may occur well ahead of the storm).
πͺ Conditions are very favourable for a number of tornadoes to develop within the purple circled area. Whilst this is a broad area, the actual tornado risk will likely remain isolated! We cannot pinpoint where a tornado WILL occur - that is what live radar updates are used for!
π‘ A number of power outages are LIKELY across Central QLD, South East QLD & North East NSW. Make sure you have a plan in place so that you can still receive vital warnings if the power is out!
π― This is NOT a BS forecast! This is a very real and genuine forecast. It is not often we have to use some high-end and extreme wording on forecasts, however this setup warrants it. This is certainly a US-type storm setup and a setup for severe and dangerous weather that we very rarely see. Not every single location WILL be impacted by severe or dangerous weather within the purple circled area. Be grateful if you are not! Severe storm parameters spread across hundreds of kilometres, so we cannot pinpoint and be 100% certain that your street will be impacted.
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Image: SWEAT (Severe Weather Threat) values by ACCESS-G / WeatherWatch. Purple is maximum, grey is above maximum values!
