12/12/2023
Time Series Analysis (TSA) is a branch of statistics that deals with analyzing data points collected over time. TSA focuses on identifying trends, patterns, and seasonality in the data. The output of this process can then be used to make predictions about future values, understand relationships between variables, and gain insights into the underlying processes that generate the data.
Some key features of this analysis are the following:
1. Regular intervals
2. Data order
3. Complex data point relationships
Using MODIS bands, sur_refl_b04 (green) & sur_refl_b06 (short-wave infrared), we determine the Normalized Difference Snow Index (NDSI) that calculates the snow presence, described in a single pixel, in the country of Poland and its voivodeships.
We first plot the univariate time series values for the whole country from 2019 to 2022 by aggregating the computed values in arrays, and converting them to data frames. Then, we use two nested functions for nested mapping of univariate time series calculations for each voivodeship, and extract them in vectors to graph the data frames.
In finding similar trends between the voivodeships, we use K-means clustering method from scikit-learn and tslearn libraries built specifically for time series computations.
To synthesize, TSA is often used for forecasting future values based on historical data. Forecasting helps in making predictions about future trends and patterns of an event to assimilate.
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